哈哈 川普连任好几年前就被预测，第一来源：圣经里面的预言，有牧师2000以前提到过，Raise the trump to be the trumpet .. 他被弹劾，但是不会成功，Trump 会排干沼泽打击政府腐败，还会打击社会主义，还会去北朝鲜和中东和平协议，但是还说美国2027 会有火山和地震。这个牧师很神奇，他的预言及其Accurate和直白说过和中国的nation treaty ，批评过普京和Kim ,连当今这种很严重的Infiltrate 也说过，如果有兴趣我会贴上来。其他还有些易经等都测出川普连任还有一人说会不选而胜，英国的星象家park Hamilton 也测出来，还说川普会赢摇摆州Florida。拭目以待吧。那些害怕川普连任的及早准备

大嘴成了耶鲁毕业的了？

transient 发表于 2020-10-01 11:32

军校2年，转去宾大沃顿商学院毕业25 岁？。实话实说，宾大沃顿商学院本科最难申请program 之一。

美国的历史教授也给川普算了一卦

History professor who has accurately predicted every election since 1984 says Trump will lose

History professor Allan Lichtman is used to being right.

He has correctly predicted the winner of each presidential race since Ronald Reagan''s reelection victory in 1984 using his "13 keys" system. (It''s worth mentioning that in 2000, Lichtman predicted that Al Gore would win the election. Although Gore won the popular vote, he ultimately lost the presidency to George W. Bush after the Supreme Court ruled to stop the recount for Florida''s electoral votes. Lichtman stands by validity of his prediction.)

In an interview with CNN, Lichtman was definitive in his answer: "The keys predict that Donald Trump will lose the White House this year."

Lichtman bases his prediction on a model of "13 keys" that can be answered as either true or false for any given election. The "13 keys" in his system include factors such as the economy, incumbency, social unrest and scandals, as well as the candidates'' personal charisma.

"The secret is keeping your eye on the big picture of incumbent strength and performance. And don''t pay any attention to the polls, the pundits, the day-to-day ups and downs of the campaign. And that''s what the keys gauge. The big picture," Lichtman explained.

After 2016, Americans have been (understandingly) wary of presidential prediction models. But "dismissing Lichtman''s findings would seem like sticking your head in the proverbial sand," CNN''s Editor at Large Chris Cillizza said in his political audio briefing this week.

When asked if the key model could account for something as cataclysmic as the Covid-19 pandemic, Lichtman remained confident. "Look, retrospectively and prospectively, the keys go all the way back to 1860. They are what we call a robust system. So, I don''t fiddle with them. They''ve lasted through enormous changes in our politics, in our economy, in our democracy. Don''t fiddle with the keys," he explained.

Although Lichtman has been predicting elections since 1982, he explained that he still feels the same amount of pressure every four years. "I''m 73 years old," he said to CNN. "But every time, without fail, I get butterflies."

huaren2018 发表于 2020-10-01 12:06

这个教授不巧也看了，他是用数据说话，不是玄学。probability vs ....mystery ? Talent?

认真的回答一下，我是信佛的，根据佛祖的开示，我们现在处的这个劫还要延续几千年呢，真正的末世远没到来呢。

宝贝小猪 发表于 2020-10-01 12:38

找到熟悉的感觉了，记得你的贴，以前华人谈论的比现在有趣。过了这阵会好吧

最近在网上看的各种大选预测，虽说两边获胜的都有，但更多的是认为Trump连任，拭目以待。其实我关心的不是并不是大选，而是是否有真有命运一说。一直在无神论，佛教，基督教之间徘徊，希望通过此事，能够多些领悟。

freshairy 发表于 2020-10-01 12:49

肯定有，信仰的力量无穷尽。最近研究bible和佛经的一些感想

那你觉得，这两种世界观是并存的吗？基督教排他性很强，去过教堂很多次，没法完全接受。可能时机还不到。

freshairy 发表于 2020-10-01 13:35

我只说说自己的体会。才到美国时周末去教会，碰到一些比较极端的人，他们会让你以为信上帝得永生，不信下地狱。或者信上帝，作恶也会被原谅。这些会让人怀疑人生观。后来自己去慢慢看圣经，或者和不同的信徒交流，发现其实是理解不同。不管信还是不信，只要人有大善，都会被祝福保佑。那些极端的或者一天作恶的并不是真的信徒。God 很强大很包容，和真正的佛祖一样。看过台湾一个去灵界体验，这个灵魂看到了三毛，在佛祖那里，其实三毛是个基督徒。圣经新约是本非常好的思想品德指导书，里面讲了所有入世可以借鉴的经验。新约讲究与人为善宽容，还有很多美好的道德。这些和佛经应该是一致的。佛教修的是出世，佛经感觉非常强大，不容易读懂。层主可以去不同教堂体验，风格不同的。并不是说教堂里面的就一定是真信徒，比如最近梵蒂冈那位教皇（天主教）。在中国那片土地，释迦摩尼的确已经走了，现在那里是末法年代。