中国背后给俄捅刀子
badgerbadger 发表于 2022-02-25 12:51
中国高层和俄罗斯各种勾搭，推进人民币换卢布，中国银行面子上还是会做但是兴趣缺缺，毕竟高层翻脸比翻书还快，真金白银是要自己掏
https://carnegiemoscow.org/commentary/85069
The Russian and Chinese leaders regularly discuss increasing the use of their national currencies in bilateral payments, most recently in a phone conversation at the end of June. Moscow hopes to become less vulnerable to U.S. sanctions this way, while Beijing, in its most recent Five-Year Plan, outlined its intention to construct and advance the security of yuan cross-border payment systems while steadily promoting the currency’s internationalization.
In practice, however, these top-level statements of friendship against the U.S. dollar are thwarted by the lack of practical incentives to develop financial ties. When it comes to money, it seems that the lofty ambitions of political leaders are no match for the insufficient liberalization of the Chinese financial system and the unwieldy Russian economy beset by sanctions...
The de-dollarization process in bilateral trade between Russia and China is, however, under way—but largely through switching to the euro. In the last four months of 2020, Beijing and Moscow conducted 83.3 percent of their deals in euros. This also impacted on the process of de-dollarizing Russia’s export operations with the rest of the world, in which the dollar’s share dipped below 50 percent for the first time ever in the final quarter of 2020, to 48.3 percent.
Yet even the switch to the euro in Sino-Russian trade does not mitigate the risk of Western sanctions. Any correspondence bank facilitating a Russia-China transaction is likely to touch U.S. dollars to some degree and, therefore, be subject to secondary sanctions. Certain euro-nominated cross-border payments rely on the SWIFT international payment system, which makes them a potential target for U.S. sanctions. To get around this problem, Beijing and Moscow could have used China’s version of SWIFT: the Cross-Border Inter-Bank Payments System (CIPS), or Russia’s System of Transfer of Financial Messages (STFM). Yet so far, only one Chinese bank has joined STFM, and only twenty-three Russian banks have joined CIPS.
